Atlanta Falcons (4-11). Average draft position: 4.5 FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 75.8% FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched.
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The Jacksonville Jaguars have locked up the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft, while the New York Jets have clinched the No. 2 pick. The Jets had been the favorites for the top spot since Week 5, according to the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI), but back-to-back wins in Weeks 15 and 16 means the Jaguars now get their chance at the top quarterback in the class. The rest of the top 10 is still undecided.
Each week during the season, the FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model's ratings for individual teams in addition to game locations. The order is based on the record the model believes the teams will have after 16 games, as well as each team's average draft position in the simulations.
- NFL Draft Odds, 2021 Draft Prop Bets. After a thrilling 2018 edition in Arlington, Texas, the 2019 NFL Draft, scheduled on April 25–27, moves to Nashville, Tennessee. The Arizona Cardinals own the first pick, and QB Kyler Murray seems to be the obvious choice for them, but DE Joey Bosa and DT Quinnen Williams look tempting.
- The 2021 Super Bowl between the Chiefs and Buccaneers is right around the corner. Check out the game's odds, line, spread, NFL picks and more.
- 2020 NFL Draft NFL Draft Projections 2020: Updated Order, Odds and 1st-Round Predictions Jake Rill Senior Analyst III April 19, 2020 Comments.
Check out the full 1-32 projection for the 2021 NFL draft (updated on Dec. 29):
1. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-14)
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: Clinched
2. New York Jets (2-13)
FPI chance to earn No. 2 pick: Clinched
3. Atlanta Falcons (4-11)
Average draft position: 4.5
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 75.8%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
4. Miami Dolphins (10-5; from 4-11 HOU)
Average draft position: 4.7
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 62%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
5. Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-1)
Average draft position: 5.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 73.7%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
6. Philadelphia Eagles (4-10-1)
Average draft position: 6.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 40.6%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
7. Detroit Lions (5-10)
Average draft position: 7.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 28.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 84.3%
8. Carolina Panthers (5-10)
Average draft position: 8.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 9.2%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 77%
9. Denver Broncos (5-10)
Average draft position: 10.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 0.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 53.6%
10. Los Angeles Chargers (6-9)
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Average draft position: 10.8
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 45.4%
11. New York Giants (5-10)
Average draft position: 11.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 10.1%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 49.2%
12. Dallas Cowboys (6-9)
Average draft position: 12.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 52.2%
13. Minnesota Vikings (6-9)
Average draft position: 13.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 1.4%
14. San Francisco 49ers (6-9)
Average draft position: 13.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 0.6%
15. New England Patriots (6-8)
Average draft position: 14.8
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 0.2%
16. Las Vegas Raiders (7-8)
Average draft position: 16.3
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
17. Washington Football Team (6-9)
Average draft position: 16.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 36.2%
18. Arizona Cardinals (8-7)
Average draft position: 18.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
19. Chicago Bears (8-7)
Average draft position: 19.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
20. Cleveland Browns (10-5)
Average draft position: 20.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
21. Miami Dolphins (10-5)
Average draft position: 22.2
22. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15; from 9-6 LAR)
Average draft position: 22.3
23. Indianapolis Colts (10-5)
Average draft position: 22.8
24. Tennessee Titans (10-5)
Average draft position: 24.0
25. Baltimore Ravens (10-5)
Average draft position: 25.1
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-5)
Average draft position: 26.3
27. New York Jets (2-13; from 11-4 SEA)
Average draft position: 26.5
28. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3)
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Average draft position: 27.3
29. Buffalo Bills (11-3)
Average draft position: 27.6
30. New Orleans Saints (11-4)
Average draft position: 28.0
31. Green Bay Packers (12-3)
Average draft position: 29.2
32. Kansas City Chiefs (14-1)
Average draft position: 30.5
Get Free NFL Picks, Parlays and Expert Predictions for every 2020 NFL game. We have the best sports handicappers making NFL predictions using the latest sports betting odds. Throw the bomb and score big with NFL picks at Sports Chat Place.
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