4/3/2022

Michelle Obama 2020 Odds

One of the more entertaining aspects of election betting – or just following elections in general – is keeping up on the Vegas odds for potential VP candidate picks. Because Presidential candidates often go through most of the primary election cycle without selecting a running mate, there’s usually rampant speculation on which possible politician would best serve a given nominee in their quest to keep or flip valuable states.

  • The odds of Michelle Obama being the 2020 Democratic Presidential nominee have dropped from +6500 to +3300 in less than a month. Photo by The White House Wiki Commons. The odds of Michelle Obama winning the 2020 Democratic nomination have improved from +6500 to +3300 in less than a month.
  • March 5 Odds: N/A; March 20 Odds: N/A; Current Odds: 12-1; I’ve been reluctant to put the former First Lady in the mix, but with the recent events happening across America — combined with the drastic line shift — it is now impossible to not bring her into the conversation.
  • In addition, as of the end of April, Michelle Obama's odds have continued to plummet and she is now as short at +900 with some oddsmakers - the same price being given for the San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl this year.

This has never been truer than in the 2020 Presidential election, and with so much going on during the cycle – from Trump impeachment to the coronavirus outbreak to historic stock market volatility – political betting odds are fluctuating daily and are providing huge payouts.

That said, it would clearly be best for the rest of the country if Michelle Obama did run for president or—now that Joe Biden is going to be the Democratic nominee—vice president in 2020.

Offshore sportsbooks offer Vegas-style odds on all of the most popular choices, but Joe Biden has already selected US Senator from California, Kamala Harris, as his running mate, thus removing all VP betting lines from the boards until the 2024 election cycle.

Best Online Sportsbooks For Betting On 2020 Vice Presidential Candidates

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2020 Democratic Vice President Selection - Kamala Harris

A former Attorney General of California, Kamala Harris, 55, is currently a US Senator from the state. She was an early Presidential candidate, but her campaign fell apart after the second Democratic debate when Tulsi Gabbard shined a light on Harris’ hypocrisy about smoking marijuana while jailing her fellow citizens for doing the same thing – and then laughing about it.

On August 12, 2020, Joe Biden selected Senator Harris as his running mate, and the Biden Harris 2020 ticket was born. As a woman of color and a member of the Democratic establishment, she is an attractive running mate for Joe Biden and had been the favorite to be selected for many weeks. Now that the VP odds have been removed from the boards, Harris has been re-added to the Vegas Presidential election odds, indicating there is still a chance for a contested Democratic National Convention.

Former 2020 Democratic Vice Presidential Candidates

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Keisha Lance Bottoms is the current Mayor of Atlanta, Georgia, and has recently emerged as a top Vice-Presidential candidate for Joe Biden following the shooting of an African American male by the Atlanta Police Department amid law enforcement brutality protests. She first made headlines in 2017, the same year she was elected Mayor, by defying President Trump’s opposition to hosting refugees, announcing Atlanta as a “welcoming city.”

Joe Biden has recently declared that he is vetting four potential VP nominees, and Mayor Bottoms is included in that short list. All signs point to Biden selecting an African American female, and Bottoms fits the bill. The DNC has not carried GA in a Presidential election since Bill Clinton in 1992. Choosing Bottoms as the VP could go a long way in delivering Georgia’s 16 electoral college votes to Biden in 2020.

Amy Klobuchar - Withdrawn from VP Consideration

Amy Klobuchar, a 59-year-old US Senator from Minnesota, ran for President in 2020 but dropped out after Super Tuesday. However, as she is an establishment Democrat and is popular in the Rust Belt, Joe Biden could select her as his running mate in an effort to galvanize both female voters and flip a few important states that Trump won in 2016.

Klobuchar is relatively scandal free, and it seems that the only reason she’s not the favorite to be Biden’s pick is that she is not a minority. However, tactically, she seems the soundest choice and the best bet.

Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer is the current governor of Michigan. She has not announced her interest in a VP role under either Biden or Sanders, but at a relatively young 48 years old and with no real skeletons in her closet (except for recently banning chloroquine for coronavirus treatment and then asking the Trump administration to send more of the drug to her state in an embarrassing about-face), she might be a good choice for Uncle Joe.

Still, with her chloroquine stunt, it seems like a bad move to have that baggage in any debate with VP Mike Pence, who is the head of the US coronavirus task force and is polling well in that role.

Catherine Cortez Masto

Cortez Masto, 56, is a US Senator from Nevada and is the Chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. As a person of Hispanic heritage, she ticks all the right boxes for a potential Joe Biden pairing, though she is not radical enough for someone like Bernie Sanders.

Masto seems scandal-free, though her odds are narrower than they should probably be.

Stacey Abrams

Stacey Abrams, who famously lost the 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election and refused to concede on various grounds of racism, sexism, and voter suppression, is the highest-profile potential candidate for that reason.

Abrams is 46 years old and has never been married, and there are questions as to her sexual orientation, about which she has never been forthcoming. That could become a major point in her favor if she picks up the nomination, galvanizing the LGBTQ vote if she chooses to come out of the closet.

However, Abrams’ biggest strength seems to be the radical leftist politics that align her with Bernie Sanders. As a potentially gay minority with progressive ideologies, Abrams should be the heavy favorite if Sanders – not Biden – wins the nomination.

Elizabeth Warren

Elizabeth Warren, the 70-year-old US Senator from Massachusetts, was the early favorite to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination. But after slipping in the odds and resorting to trashing Bernie Sanders as a sexist, voters fled en masse, and she ended her campaign.

It is unclear why she’s on the VP odds boards, as her history of fabricating Native American heritage would be devastating on the debate stage. Trump, after all, has already christened her “Pocahontas,” and it’s stuck. A bet for Warren as VP makes little sense, as her politics align with Sanders, whom she still refuses to even endorse.

Val Demings

A member of the US House of Representatives from FL, the 63-year-old Val Demings was relatively unknown until a few weeks ago when her name started popping up on the odds boards. She was selected by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to be an impeachment manager during the President’s Senate trial, which could be toxic on the debate stage, especially as the impeachment trial carried on while the Trump administration was closing borders due to the coronavirus.

Demings, as a black woman, would help galvanize some voters, but she’s a heavy underdog because little else is known about her on the national stage.

Hillary Clinton

Everyone knows everything there is to know about 72-year-old Hillary Clinton, so there’s nothing left to say about her background at this point. Notably, Clinton is also featured on the 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidate boards, but it is not clear whether she would accept the nomination at a brokered convention.

Would she really want to be beaten by Trump again after the humiliation of 2016? And would she even accept the bottom half of a 2020 ticket? Clinton is likely out of politics for good, but you never know. A bet on Hillary pays out pretty handsomely.

Michelle Obama

The former First Lady, Michelle Obama has long been a popular potential Presidential and Vice Presidential candidate. However, she has made no indication of a willingness to run for either post, as she already spent eight years in the White House and may prefer a comfortable life of riches and fame outside the daily press briefings and other rigors of public duty.

However, at 56 years old, Obama is the most powerful and influential person on this list in 2020 (sorry, Hillary!), and one phone call is all it would take to earn her the Presidential nomination or a VP position. If you think she’ll make that call, you should definitely call your bookie.

Tammy Duckworth

As the first Thai-American woman elected to the US Senate (Illinois, 2016), the 52-year-old Duckworth isn’t your traditional minority. That might work against her, and it’s one reason she’s near the bottom of the odds boards.

However, Duckworth is a decorated combat veteran, losing both of her legs in service to the country before starting her political career. That might go a long way with centrist voters, and it would make her a decent choice for the establishment. If Biden gets the nom, Duckworth’s odds should go up substantially.

Who will be next us president odds

Tulsi Gabbard

The 38-year-old Tulsi Gabbard, a member of the US House of Representatives from Hawaii, is Democrat kryptonite. As a 2020 Presidential candidate and the last to drop out, She destroyed Kamala Harris’ campaign, embarrassed Pete Buttigieg on national television, and was summarily “disinvited” to all future debates on the grounds that she’d leave no man – or woman – standing by the end.

The DNC despises Gabbard despite her veteran status and the fact that she’s a woman of color, and that doesn’t bode well for a VP pick. She has among the longest odds of any potential candidate for that reason.

Michelle Lujan Grisham

Michelle Grisham, 60, is the current governor of New Mexico, and is of Hispanic descent, with several family members who were or are in national politics. She has indicated no desire to run as the VP candidate in 2020, but she would make a solid choice for Joe Biden thanks to her big-business establishment bona fides.

With few skeletons in her closet, Grisham seems one of the safest possible choices for Biden, with the only question being whether or not the DNC would want her serving as President in the likely event that Biden – if he wins in 2020 – would not be able to serve out his term for health reasons.

Tammy Baldwin

Tammy Baldwin, 58, is the less popular Tammy on the VP odds boards, but the US Senator from Wisconsin is openly gay, giving her the opportunity to target the LGBTQ demographic of voters. Of course, the Democrat Party already does that, and Baldwin seems less popular in the Rust Belt states than Klobuchar.

With long odds as a result, your money is likely better spent elsewhere, unless Bernie gets the DNC nod. In that case, Baldwin’s progressive ideology could make her an attractive choice.

Susan Rice

Susan Rice served in the Obama administration as the US National Security Advisor, and at 55 years old, she seems to have many years of politics left under her belt. However, the Benghazi scandal in 2012 has tainted her prospects on the national stage, and it is unclear if her status as an accomplished African American woman would be enough to win voters over in the face of that baggage.

Right now, Rice is the longest shot on the odds boards, and it’s unclear which candidate would pick her over others on the list.

Why Were There Only Female Vice President Candidates Listed?

In the early stages of his campaign, before it became clear that he would win the nomination, Joe Biden asserted that he would pick a woman Vice President candidate to be his running mate. Biden's assertion became a reality on August 12, 2020, when he chose US Senator Kamala Harris to be his VP running mate.

Harris will not be the first woman to run for VP, as that's happened twice in the past (1984, 2008), but it is a rarity. Kamala Harris is an establishment Democrat and a woman of color, which is demographically valuable. While Harris was still a 2020 Presidential candidate, she butted heads with Biden. They've now buried the hatchet and are prepared to make a historic run for the Presidency that will see a woman ascend to the second-most powerful leadership position on the planet.

Current Vegas Election Odds For 2020 Democratic Vice President Candidates

The odds for VP candidates on the Democratic ticket have been removed from the boards now that Kamala Harris has been selected as the Vice Presidential running mate by Joe Biden and his campaign. Unless Trump or Biden are forced to pull out of the 2020 election process, causing a new candidate to select a VP, odds are not likely to appear again until the 2024 Presidential campaigns begin. Below are the final Democratic Party VP odds of the 2020 election season.

  • Kamala Harris -120 (VP Select)*
  • Susan Rice +210
  • Karen Bass +2500
  • Elizabeth Warren +2000
  • Tammy Duckworth +1800
  • Val Demings +1000
  • Gretchen Whitmer +5000
  • Michelle Obama +2800
  • Keisha Lance Bottoms +10000
  • Hillary Clinton +10000
  • Michelle Lujan Grisham +10000
  • Stacey Abrams +10000
  • Andrew Cuomo +20000
  • Catherine Cortez Masto +20000
  • Tammy Baldwin +20000
  • Tulsi Gabbard +20000

* Odds last updated 8/12/20

  • Kamala Harris -110 (VP Select)*
  • Val Demings +800
  • Stacey Abrams +8000
  • Karen Bass +1200
  • Elizabeth Warren +2000
  • Keisha Lance Bottoms +6600
  • Michelle Obama +2500
  • Susan Rice +150
  • Tammy Duckworth +1200
  • Lujan Grisham +12500
  • Hillary Clinton +5000
  • Tammy Baldwin +15000
  • Barack Obama +6600

* Odds last updated 8/12/20

  • Kamala Harris -110 (VP Select)*
  • Val Demings +800
  • Stacey Abrams +8000
  • Karen Bass +1200
  • Elizabeth Warren +2000
  • Keisha Lance Bottoms +6600
  • Michelle Obama +2500
  • Susan Rice +150
  • Tammy Duckworth +1200
  • Lujan Grisham +12500
  • Hillary Clinton +5000
  • Tammy Baldwin +15000
  • Barack Obama +6600

* Odds last updated 8/12/20

Can A Former US President Become A Vice President?

Yes, even twice-elected Presidents can serve as a VP. There are no term limits set for Vice Presidents of the USA, and politicians are able to serve in that role under more than one sitting President. The same VP has sat for two different Presidents twice during the United States' history, but not since the 1800s.

Potential Republican Vice Presidential Candidates

Republican Vice President odds are sometimes found online, but those particular wagers come and go sporadically. Mike Pence is the current VP under Donald Trump, and it seems unlikely that Trump would sacrifice a winning formula to pick someone else for virtually no gain.

However, when these odds do pop up, the most popular Pence replacement is Nikki Haley, who is also a longshot on the boards to be the 2020 GOP nominee if Trump drops out or is otherwise unable to run.

Vice President Election Betting FAQs

Nope! While US-based sportsbooks – even in new sports betting states that have just approved the pastime – do not offer political prop bets or election betting of any kind, it’s not illegal to participate in this kind of wagering.

You simply need to use a legitimate offshore betting site to do it. These sites offer Vegas-style odds on anything and everything politics, and there are no federal laws barring you from signing up and placing real money bets.

Note: WA and CT residents are technically not allowed to gamble online, but those laws are unenforced, and all major election betting sites allow members from both states. Still, we recommend sticking with legal mandates, regardless of how ironic it would be to break the law to bet on lawmakers.

Not soon enough!

It is strange that most POTUS hopefuls don’t announce their running mates well ahead of the end of primary season, as such selections could help their Presidential election odds in many cases.

Of course, this means that VP betting lines are up for several months, offering you lots of chances to make good bets and double down on winners when their odds fluctuate.

This has been an idea floated since Trump and VP Mike Pence took office in January 2017. Trump is well known for firing folks, and everyone assumes that nobody is immune.

However, as head of the coronavirus task force and with strong approval ratings during the crisis, Pence’s job is more secure than ever. There is little chance Trump will alter his winning formula before the 2020 general.

This is a question only because Joe Biden is in such obviously poor health (akin to FDR before his fourth Presidential election, when Harry Truman was the heir apparent going into the general).

While Biden wants to win the Presidency, the bigger goal is ensuring that Bernie Sanders doesn’t earn the DNC nomination. If Biden wins the nom and selects a VP but then abdicates before the general, the DNC will select a new candidate, who would then choose their running mate. The candidacy would not automatically go to the VP selection.

Many voters and bettors wonder if former President Barack Obama could run as VP under Joe Biden or another candidate. The answer is no.

To be VP, you must be eligible to be President, thanks to the Presidential line of succession that elevates the Vice President to the highest office if anything happens to the POTUS.

Since Obama has already served two terms as US President, he is ineligible to be President and is thus ineligible to be VP. A Biden-Obama ticket cannot happen per the US Constitution.

Clinton herself has not ruled out the possibility, famously saying that she’d “never say never.” However, it seems unlikely. After losing to Trump in 2016, Hillary is four years removed from politics, and she would probably not accept the “undercard” of any Presidential ticket.

Michelle Obama 2020 Odds

Additionally, such would be tactically unsound, as Trump beat her once and knows exactly how to attack her policies on the national stage.

This is every Democrat’s dream scenario, primarily because she would be running with Biden, who would likely be forced to resign if he won, making Michelle Obama the first female President in US history.

Obama could also be a popular Presidential candidate in her own right if she so chooses, as she’d be an easy pick at a brokered convention. Nevertheless, it is unclear if she has any motivation to be a politician, much less at the highest levels of government.

Michelle Obama’s odds to win the 2020 Democratic nomination moved significantly in recent weeks. How involved will she be in the 2020 US Presidential Election? Will she make a late run?

The Democratic nomination betting odds for Michelle Obama at Bovadawent from +6500 on April 15th to +3300 at the time of this writing. We go over possible reasons why this line moved.

Michelle Obama’s Netflix Documentary Improved Her Popularity

Michelle Obama left the White House in 2017 and she had a successful speaking tour all over the nation to promote Becoming, her best-selling memoir. Netflix filmed this and produced an intimate documentary, also named Becoming.

The documentary was released worldwide on May 6th. It has a runtime of 90 minutes. Filmmaker Nadia Hallgren directed it.

Mrs. Obama, a rockstar political advocate in her own right, sold out entire stadiums during her book tour. This is what she tweeted about her documentary:

Odds

“This movie tells my story, from my childhood on the South Side of Chicago to my life today—and it celebrates the powerful stories of the people I met along the way.”

Netflix describes the documentary likethis: “Becoming is an intimate look into the life of former First Lady Michelle Obama during a moment of profound change, not only for her personally but for the country she and her husband served over eight impactful years in the White House.

The film offers a rare and up-close look at her life, taking viewers behind the scenes as she embarks on a 34-city tour that highlights the power of community to bridge our divides and the spirit of connection that comes when we openly and honestly share our stories.”

The highly-anticipated documentary didn’t disappoint. Documentaries like this or ESPN’s ‘The Last Dance’ during these times helps us all find a will to keep going.

Michelle Obama’s memoir sold over 11 million copies. It was highly-acclaimed to the point that it had to be translated into more than 20 languages. As for the documentary, it is inspiring, full of valuable lessons in leadership and life. I highly recommend it.

Michelle Obama is Currently Working on Increasing Voter Participation

Who Will Be Next Us President Odds

Obama is working with 31 mayors on increasing voter participation through her nonpartisan organization.

Her “When We All Vote” initiative recently announced that the mayors joined the efforts to boost voter turnout in cities across the country. The initiative was founded before the 2018 midterms.

“The ability to vote freely, fairly—and safely—is bigger than any single issue, party, or candidate. I’m so grateful that this bipartisan group of #CivicCities mayors are joining up with @WhenWeAllVote to make voting more accessible. This work couldn’t be more important,” Obama tweeted.

The former US First Lady has done other voter outreach this year but this is the first involving the presidential election.

Betting Analysis

Michelle Obama 2020 Odds 2020

All the attention that Michelle Obama is getting helped create a buzz around her. Her prominence is happening just as Biden faces sex attack allegations from Tara Reade.

BetOnline has Michelle Obama at +12500 to win the 2020 US Presidential Election. I want to make a small bet for fun. I have to warn you that there’s just one issue. Obama’s aides recently told The Washington Post that she is staying out of the political world. Only time will tell if she changes her mind!

Michelle Obama 2020 Odds

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