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Australian Open Winner 2018 Odds

The 2018 Australian Open Women's Singles final was the championship tennis match of the Women's Singles tournament at the 2018 Australian Open.It was contested between the world's top two players, Simona Halep and Caroline Wozniacki, then ranked first and second in the world respectively. Place a Winner bet on australian-open-men-s with the Betfair™ Exchange. Best Online Betting Exchange For Tennis Bet Live In-Play Cash Out.

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2018 Australian Open Women's Final
Caroline Wozniacki(2) vs. Simona Halep(1)
Set123
Caroline Wozniacki7736
Simona Halep6264
DateSaturday, 27 January 2018
TournamentAustralian Open
LocationMelbourne
Previous head-to-head results
Wozniacki 4–2 Halep[1]

The delayed 2021 Australian Open will take place from 08 February to 21 February at Melbourne Park, with Novak Djokovic defending his title. For information visit the official Australian Open site. 2018 Australian Open Predictions and Betting Tips. The Australian Open is drawing closer and the tournament has already seen a big name pull out. Andy Murray will not compete in the tournament due to injury, leaving the battle for the men’s title looking like being a three horse race. Australian Open 2018 odds: Novak Djokovic tumbles but Roger Federer still favourite NOVAK DJOKOVIC has come into second place in the betting for the Australian Open after proving his fitness in an.

The 2018 Australian Open Women's Singles final was the championship tennis match of the Women's Singles tournament at the 2018 Australian Open. It was contested between the world's top two players, Simona Halep and Caroline Wozniacki, then ranked first and second in the world respectively. They had both been world number one without winning a Grand Slam title, and they had also both lost two Grand Slam finals each (Halep at the 2014 and 2017 French Opens and Wozniacki at the 2009 and 2014 US Opens). The winner would win her first Grand Slam title, alongside the world number one ranking for the week starting 29 January 2018.[2]

2018

Wozniacki defeated Halep in three sets in two hours and 49 minutes, with the match finishing shortly before 10:30 pm local time, to become the first Danish player to win the Australian Open, and the first Dane in men's or women's singles to win a Grand Slam title.[3]

Match[edit]

Background[edit]

The match began at 7:30 pm local time. Marijana Veljović of Serbia was the chair umpire for the match, overseeing the biggest match of her umpiring career.

First set[edit]

Wozniacki won the pre-match coin toss and elected to serve first. She held her first service game, then broke Halep and quickly got a 3-0 lead. Wozniacki then attempted to serve for the opening set at 5–3, but was broken; Halep then pegged it back to 5–5, and they both held serve to let a tiebreak decide the set. Wozniacki won the first two points, and went on to win the tiebreak 7–2.

Second set[edit]

Halep served first in the second set and held to 30, then Wozniacki held to love. In the next game, Halep saved four break points to claim a 2–1 lead. The next 3 games would see no break points, and at 3–3, Halep held serve, broke and won the second set after saving three break points when serving for the set, winning it 6–3. The match score was now tied at one set apiece, meaning a third set would be required to decide the title.[4]

Third set[edit]

The third set had the most breaks of serve. Wozniacki won the first game, after being down 0-30. In the next game Halep led 30-0, but lost her serve on Wozniacki’s first break point opportunity. Wozniacki would serve to get a 3–0 lead, but Halep broke back, despite Wozniacki saving the first 5 break points. Wozniacki broke to 0 in the next game, but Halep then broke to 15, to make the score 3–2 for Wozniacki. Halep then won her service game, and broke Wozniacki again to get a 4–3 lead, then served for what would have been a 5–3 lead. But Halep lost her serve, despite saving the first break point, leaving the set tied at 4-4. Wozniacki then held serve to lead 5–4, leaving Halep to serve to stay in the match. Despite Halep leading 30-15, Wozniacki won two points in a row (the first of them being the first and only double fault of the match from the Romanian) to reach championship point at 40-30. Wozniacki won the point, the match and the championship, after Halep hit a backhand into the net.[5]

Statistics[edit]

Category Halep Wozniacki
1st serve %61%58%
1st serve points won46 of 71 = 65%39 of 59 = 66%
2nd serve points won21 of 45 = 47%22 of 43 = 51%
Total service points won67 of 116 = 58%61 of 102 = 60%
Aces62
Double faults16
Winners4025
Unforced errors4727
Net points won43 of 60 = 72%15 of 26 = 58%
Break points converted5 of 12 = 42%5 of 14 = 36%
Return points won41 of 102 = 40%49 of 116 = 42%
Total points won108110
Source

References[edit]

  1. ^http://www.stevegtennis.com/head-to-head/women/Caroline_Wozniacki/Simona_Halep/
  2. ^Courtney Nguyen (11 January 2018). 'No.1 Chase: The Fab Five hunting Halep in Melbourne'. WTA Insider.
  3. ^Pearce, Linda (28 January 2018). 'Great Dane: Wozniacki wins maiden Slam'. Australian Open. Retrieved 28 January 2018.
  4. ^'Caroline Wozniacki wins Australian Open title after epic battle with Halep'. Guardian. 27 January 2018. Retrieved 7 February 2018.
  5. ^Piers Newberry (27 January 2018). 'Australian Open: Caroline Wozniacki beats Simona Halep to win first Grand Slam title'. BBC Sport.
Retrieved from 'https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2018_Australian_Open_–_Women%27s_singles_final&oldid=982200311'

Dan Weston has analysed the conditions and contenders ahead of the first Grand Slam of the year. Is there any value in the men’s Australian Open winner odds? Read on to find out what the stats suggest.

Australian Open Winner 2018 Odds

Frequently at the start of the season, there is almost a ‘new school year’ feel, with players refreshed following some off-season rest and preparation, full of enthusiasm. While that may be the case with some players this year, this year’s men’s event can be more accurately described as the walking wounded.

Men’s Australian Open winner odds: The favourites

A number of top players - including Rafa Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Milos Raonic and Stan Wawrinka - have considerable injury doubts, while Andy Murray and Kei Nishikori are among the high-profile withdrawals from the tournament.

Given these numerous injury issues, it’s unsurprising to see Roger Federer installed as a strong favourite to win the event, with the Swiss legend currently available at 2.889*, Rafa Nadal (4.710*) and Novak Djokovic (5.690*) next in the betting.

Federer has a superior record to Nadal in their last 50 matches against top 10 opponents (37-13 compared to 27-23) and this is likely to give him a big edge over the rest of the field.

Across the last three years at Melbourne Park, 80.2% of service games have been held, slightly more than the 79.4% ATP hardcourt mean during this time period, while 0.62 aces per game were served, again slightly up on the 0.57 hard court average. With this in mind, it’s reasonable to assert that overall conditions are a touch quicker than average, but not unduly so.

It has been commented by some observers that some courts in this event play quicker than others, but given that historical data does not provide court information to allow backtesting, it is impossible to statistically prove or disprove such an assertion.

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Federer would generally prefer conditions to be as quick as possible, but last year’s title was his first in the Australian Open since 2010 - he’s won five titles overall (three of them between 2004 and 2007). He needed five sets to get the better of Nadal in an epic tussle in last year’s final (the Spaniard hasn’t won the Australian Open since 2009 and that was his first final at the event since 201). Novak Djokovic - five titles in total - has dominated since the start of the decade.

However, as mentioned previously both Nadal and Djokovic have big injury concerns. Nadal ended his 2017 campaign early after one match at the Tour Finals (following his withdrawal from Paris a fortnight earlier) and pulled out of the Brisbane warm-up event last week as well. Djokovic - with a new service motion - eased past Dominic Thiem in the Kooyong Exhibition this week after not playing since his retirement in the Wimbledon quarterfinals in July.

Statistically, there isn’t much to choose between Federer and Nadal, with Federer winning 71.2% of service points won on hard court in the last 12 month, and 39.3% on return (combined 110.5%), with Nadal (70.2%, 40.5% = combined 110.7%) almost identical. However, Federer has a superior record in his last 50 matches against top 10 opponents (37-13 compared to 27-23) and this is likely to give him a big edge over the rest of the field in the latter stages of the event.

Djokovic (106.4% combined) saw his statistics drop vastly last year - evidently afflicted by injury - but it’s worth noting that peak Djokovic - for example in 2015 - won 69.4% of service points and 44.1% on return (113.5% combined) and if he could get back to those levels he’d be the obvious favourite to win the tournament.

Is there an opportunity for those on the fringes?

The aforementioned injury situation is obviously an intangible at the time of writing, so the likes of Grigor Dimitrov (9.510*), Nick Kyrgios (13.740*), Alexander Zverev (16.689*) and David Goffin (17.900*) are more respected in the outright market than would usually be the case.

Of this quartet, all lie between the 106.3% and 103.4% combined service/return points won percentage - quite a bit below Federer and Nadal - with Kyrgios leading this chasing pack. The Australian bad-boy will receive plenty of home support and doesn’t have a disastrous career record (16-24) against top 10 opponents either.

Kyrgios’ success will largely depend on whether he can keep his head together for seven consecutive matches in a fortnight, and also whether his serve-orientated style can get him over the line enough in tight sets.

Evaluating the remaining three players, there is a case for arguing that Dimitrov is a touch over-rated following his World Tour Finals triumph - his numbers indoors are better than outdoors - while Zverev has overperformed on break points consistently in the last season. It’s possible that this may continue, but players who do this frequently mean-revert.

Goffin (14-36 in last 50 matches vs. top 10 opposition) doesn’t often have a higher gear to trouble the big names on tour, and for him to succeed here, the draw would have to seriously open up for the Belgian.

Are there any outsiders worth considering?

Of the remaining players in the men’s Australian Open winner odds, all of Marin Cilic, Milos Raonic, Kevin Anderson, Roberto Bautista-Agut and Sam Querrey boast combined hard court service/return points won percentages in excess of 105%, but all have some doubts over whether they’d be able to sustain a challenge.

Odds
80.2% of service games have been held at Melbourne Park, slightly more than the 79.4% ATP hardcourt mean during this time period, while 0.62 aces per game were served, again slightly up on the 0.57 hardcourt average.

Raonic was been injured for large parts of 2017. He played his first match of this year last week and lost in straight sets to young prospect Alex de Minaur as a 1.249 favourite, facing 10 break points on serve across 10 service games - a statistic that supporters of the big-serving Canadian will be horrified by.

Doubts over Cilic focus on poor recent form post-Wimbledon (again, arguably injury-affected) and defeats to Gilles Simon (in Pune last week) and Matt Ebden (in Kooyong Exhibition) won’t have boosted his confidence. A further issue for the Croat is a woeful record against elite level opposition throughout his career.

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The big-serving duo of Anderson and Querrey also have mediocre records against top ten opponents, while Querrey typically hasn’t thrived in this part of the world. Bautista-Agut (7-40 career vs top 10) has a flat-track bully dynamic and tends to be outclassed by players better than him.

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Finally, some readers may be supporters of the younger prospects on tour at bigger prices, but statistics don’t particularly make a big case for any of them - all of Denis Shapovalov, Andrey Rublev, Hyeon Chung, Daniil Medvedev, Borna Coric and Alex de Minaur are below 102% combined, so it would take a vast improvement for them to threaten the big names in the latter stages.